This picture of a table supposedly listing rather conservative forecasts,[*] posted June 11th 2025 on Reddit..
..has us reach 4 °C warming since pre-industrial times
by 2090. In a best-case scenario. Way off plan and much agreement, agreed upon at
many an agreement! 🫥
and #ExxonKnew
“There is no "adaptation" to such steep warming.
We must stop pandering to special interests” 🤔
[*] Shaking off this undesirably irrational inclination toward the conservative, there are people like Richard Crim ❲so what if it were a pseudonym?❳, enlightening us with his “Crisis Reports” on Substack as well as Reddit posts like this one from July 5th, which made me write the below. Some would dismiss or grossly underappreciate the information he's trying to get across merely because he "writes funny" or has no platform or weather-related education; but if it weren't for him, I wouldn't know of many basic concepts like Earth's energy imbalance — the 💤 ZJs of energy the oceans are absorbing as we speak and as they have been doing for quite a while now – saving for a rainy day, like.
To put a joule in perspective: a bit of sunshine makes for ~1400 joules per second per square metre. To put a zettajoule in perspective: humanity's annual energy consumption is about half a ZJ. Then to put into perspective the zettajoules our oceans absorb, there is the Hiro, the energy of the infamous atomic bomb. The asteroid that killed 🐦 most all dinosaurs released an estimated 10 billion Hiros into the climate system in one day; and in 2023 – somewhere at the end of the not-so-curvy Keeling Curve shown below – about 471 million Hiros went into the oceans. 🫠
For now – once and for all.. 🧊 once and for all! – let's just.. 🙌 keep on living in the now, which, after all, is “all we can do”. 🫥
Tom,
6/7/25